The Swedish Behavioural Economist

Tag Archives: Equity market

How we wish that we could understand capital markets. Then it would make sense to do all the things we currently are doing, like make short-term forecasts on equity markets and certain equities. However, predicting markets does not make any sense at all. Improving companies and their communication however does.

Fyr i storm

Historic development of equity prices cannot be predicted because it is truly chaotic. So many uncontrolled forces are at work and their unpredictable interactions are so complex those extremely small variations in the strength of the forces and the way they interact can produce huge differences in outcomes. Historic equity market development is what is called a “level two” chaotic system. Chaotic systems come in two forms.

Read more about the two chaotic systems at EQapital.se

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We are so used to our surroundings that we do not appear to notice that the equity market has gradually lost its original function and turned into a non-scientific and highly unnatural bogus arrangement. It is of benefit only to the parasites being advisors and calling themselves “the market”. I confess to being a low-life parasite.

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At the outset, entrepreneurs met investors in one-off arrangements. This worked well when a voyage to east India was being financed but it becomes unsuitable for long-term ventures like an on-going enterprise. The equity markets turned into stock exchanges and is now a digital and global animal. Along the way, the markets switched its focus from financing to the trading of shares in large companies, entities that does not need financing.

Read the whole article at EQapital.se

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